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2024-12-14 05:26:10

Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.Front page of China Securities Journal: Give better play to the role of "stabilizer". The reform of the investment side of the capital market has been solidly promoted. The front page of China Securities Journal stated that efforts should be made to break through the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds entering the market, steadily promote the reform of industry rates in Public Offering of Fund, and vigorously develop equity funds, especially indexed investment ... Recently, the reform of the investment side has been accelerated, helping to improve the function of the capital market in which investment and financing are coordinated. Market participants expect that in the next stage, around the key directions such as guiding "long money" to enter the market, enriching the product system, and promoting the development of indexed investment, the reform of the investment side will continue to be solidly promoted, and more new measures are expected to be researched and introduced, which will introduce more incremental funds to the market and better play its role as a "stabilizer" of the market. The market expects that the acceleration of investment-side reform will significantly increase the scale and proportion of medium and long-term capital investment, promote the long-term investment behavior and enhance the inherent stability of the capital market.The onshore RMB closed at 7.2615 yuan against the US dollar at night, down 124 points from Tuesday's night closing. The turnover was $57.609 billion.


Morgan Stanley upgraded the rating of Shandong Gold H shares to over-allocation, with a target price of HK$ 22.20.The rhythm of "Shangxin" accelerates the issuance of public offering REITs exceeding 50 billion yuan during the year. This year, the pace of initial projects in the public offering REITs market has obviously accelerated. Up to now, the cumulative issuance scale during the year has exceeded 50 billion yuan. At the same time, the number of REITs fund managers in the whole market has increased to 25 fund institutions, and the breadth and depth of participation of relevant parties have continued to expand. Looking forward to 2025, institutional sources said that the construction of domestic REITs primary and secondary markets is expected to continue to advance. With the entry of more diversified assets and investor types, the market scale and activity are expected to further increase. (Economic Information Daily)Newly issued loans exceeding one trillion yuan to support the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises have achieved results. On the 10th, I learned from the State Financial Supervision and Administration that since the launch of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises in October this year, various localities and banks have responded quickly and achieved initial results. According to the data from the General Administration of Financial Supervision, by the end of November, all localities had visited 12.072 million small and micro business entities based on the working mechanism, of which 1.942 million were included in the "declaration list" and 1.303 million were included in the "recommendation list". Banks granted 2.2 trillion yuan of new credit and 1.2 trillion yuan of new loans to "recommended list" business entities.


CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of the current macro policy. The article said that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.

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